Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 16 Jun 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jun 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. A 10 degree filament
(S15E30) disappeared between 15/2309Z and 16/0104Z. A slow moving
CME was visible in the SOHO/LASCO imagery associated with this
event. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels the last 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (17-19
June).
III. Event Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jun 068
Predicted 17 Jun-19 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 16 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01